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Zholdosh's Letter

Everyday money in Irad, explained over tea

Walnuts: sell in October or in January?

A kilo of walnuts is cheapest the week they fall and dearest after the New Year. The cleverest sellers sell in neither.

Zholdosh A. · 03 Oct 2021 · Issue 52 min read
In October every family with a tree needs cash for winter, and every buyer knows it. The price at the roadside falls to about 16 som a kilo. By January the same walnuts are 22 or 23, and by Nauryz even more.

If you can wait, wait. If you cannot, do a half-and-half: sell a third in October (for the winter coal, boots, debts) and hold the rest. The thing I learned from the walnut women of Kara-Buura: they never sell to the first buyer, never in the morning, never on a Monday. Nobody told them an economics theory. They just know that the morning buyer has the whole day to wait and they do not.

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